U.S. Recession Odds Peak, Begin To Recede

2019-10-10

Based on recent changes in the trends for the U.S. Treasury yield curve and the level of the Federal Funds Rate, the probability the national U.S. economy will enter into recession sometime in the next twelve months appears to have peaked during the last month and has begun to recede.Read More →

Goldman says Trump tariff threat ‘raises odds of further tariff escalation’ as stock market’s calm phase ends abruptly

2019-05-06

A period of relative placidity in global markets has come to a screeching halt amid President Donald Trump’s elevated, and surprising, truculence on China tariffs, prompting strategists at Goldman Sachs to increase in their forecast the chances for an escalation of international trade tensions. Although the strategists believe there isRead More →