An earlier version of this report misidentified the state that Dan Sullivan represents in the U.S. Senate. It has been corrected.

James Carville thinks Trump is going to drop out of the race.


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I think there’s a good chance he won’t show up. I mean, this thing is going so bad. He’s so far behind… for me, it doesn’t make much sense to run..

This is Democratic strategist and co-host of “2020 Politics War Room” James Carville on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Thursday morning. He doubled last week’s prediction that Donald Trump would drop out of the presidential race before November.

He suggested on the Comcast website
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the news channel that Republican senators including Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Martha McSally of Arizona and Dan Sullivan of Alaska will try to separate from Trump this fall. This is Moscow Mitch’s big strategy: “After Labor Day, we’re going to turn against him.” It’s really going to work,” Carville said sarcastically. “McSally and Sullivan and Lindsey have been sucking up to him for three years and nine months. But, boy, on Labor Day, we’re gonna break up.”

Carville goes on to say, “The chances of this working out are zero. He listed antitrump campaigns like the Republican-led Lincoln project “bludgeoning him every night” and spending “tens of millions of dollars” to keep Trump from being reelected – or, in his words, “to extract this threat from the body politic.”


Trump has no idea what he’s about to get. There are a lot more patriots in this country than he thought

Carville made a similar statement last week, on the same cable channel, when he said there was “no chance” of Trump being re-elected. “I think there’s a better chance that Donald Trump won’t run for re-election,” he told Brian Williams. “If you just take the events of the last 10 days, it’s obvious he has no control over the virus, he has no control over the tension in the streets. …He’s lost control of everything.”

He added that “Jared [Kushner], or someone else, is going to have to sit down and have a real discussion, man to man, a return to Jesus, like people used to say, I don’t know what…. That is, what can’t go on will not go on.”

Carville is not alone in suggesting that the president will withdraw his bid for re-election, as Trump lags behind presumed Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden in most national polls, and coronavirus cases have continued to rise in 35 states in the past two weeks.

Earlier this week, Charlie Gasparino of Fox Business reported that “major players” in the GOP are wondering whether Trump should not give up. “It’s too early, but if the polls continue to deteriorate, we can look at a scenario where he will give up,” said an anonymous source.

But the president also had the opportunity this week to celebrate a better-than-expected jobs report, telling reporters and TV cameras that the economy is “roaring” and warning that “your 401(k) will fall to zero and the stock market will fall to zero” if a president inclined to raise taxes is elected.

In addition, Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh told Fox News that the rumblings of GOP agents suggesting the president quit the race are “the grandfather of false news” He continued: “Everyone knows that media polls have always been wrong about President Trump – they under-sample Republicans and don’t filter likely voters – in order to establish false stories. It won’t work. There was similar unrest in 2016, and if it had been accurate, Hillary Clinton would be in the White House right now.”

Watch Carville on MSNBC:

And stay tuned for MarketWatch coronavirus updates and coverage of the 2020 election.

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2020-07-04